Credit & Risk Analysis Training
Learn to analyze and understand the factors driving the risk / reward profile for a borrower and its debt securities. Many independent elements impact a borrower's creditworthiness and the value of its loans; however, true mastery of credit analysis demands an integrated perspective, weaving these disparate parts into a comprehensive, big-picture mosaic.
This program's goal is to assist you in developing a comprehensive foundation in credit analysis. Our framework for evaluating credit begins with the fundamentals; traditional and universally-accepted elements reviewed by lenders: the Character, Capital, Collateral, Capacity, and Conditions (the "Five C's") of debt and the debtor. These basics support building a stronger foundation to understand the qualitative and quantitative factors impacting a firm's ability to repay interest and principal. Learn the qualities which most impact a firm's solvency from a top-down analytical perspective, beginning with global economic trends and business cycles. Further assess a company's credit quality with a bottom-up analysis, evaluating the firm's performance relative to its peers. Finally, drill down even deeper to assess the structure of the company's debt securities and the potential value from specific attributes protecting creditors' investment.
Leverage your foundation to understand how major ratings agencies assess credit and ratings are determined. Learn which elements of credit are most relevant to the agencies and which are evaluated less rigorously. Compare the rating methodologies and contrast the meanings of the underlying credit ratings across credit ratings agencies. Understand how ratings changes can have drastic effects on a security's market pricing.
In addition to employing these academic practices and standard methodologies in evaluating a debtor's creditworthiness, you will also learn and integrate real world market dynamics into your credit analysis. Examining the impact of qualities such as market liquidity and the long-term objectives of creditors provides further visibility into the borrower's risk / reward profile. Reviewing additional considerations that impact a loan's risk / reward profile, including counterparty risk and concentration risk, adds deeper insight into a position's creditworthiness.
Recognize the actions and tools sometimes applied by lenders to mitigate credit risk, including credit derivatives and insurance, credit tightening, and portfolio diversification. Understand the costs and benefits of utilizing these tools, and the scenarios in which they are most effective. Finally, put your comprehensive foundation into practice by creating an actual credit review write-up.
The comprehensive analysis of a debtor and its securities from both the top-down and the bottom-up will allow you to judge a company's creditworthiness with a greater breadth and depth of understanding relative to many other market participants. This real world analysis, integrating established methodologies with the tools used by front-line Wall Street credit analysts, is a comprehensive foundation for credit review and analysis.
5-Day Curriculum Overview
- Day 1: Overview of Credit and Lending
- Day 2: Create a Credit Memo
- Day 3: Covenants & Credit Agreement Analysis
- Day 4: Covenant Comps & Debt Comps
- Day 5: Capstone Credit Memo & Presentation
Debt & Lending Overview
- What are some of the advantages of borrowing capital? Disadvantages?
- How do debt and equity investors differ in their approach to risk and reward?
- List the standard elements examined by lenders, and define the importance of each
- Understand the perspectives taken by analysts in evaluating credit, and how they differ across the sell-side and the buy-side
- Why is a security's position in the capital structure important? Why is a company's capital structure relevant to the firm's value?
- Who are the main ratings agencies and what role do they play? Understand why a loan's price isn't necessarily related to its credit rating
- How do the major credit ratings agencies evaluate debt or a debtor?
- How do the major credit rating agencies approach the rating process differently? How do ratings at similar levels differ across the agencies?
Market Factors
- Why are some industries / sectors preferred by debt investors over others?
- Evaluate the impact of fixed costs and barriers to entry in shaping an industry and its competitive dynamics
- Review the competitive dynamics of a market by analyzing Porter's Five Forces of competitive intensity
- How does a company's headquarters or geographic profile impact its creditworthiness and risk / reward profile?
- Analyze the risk of government regulation / intervention, and the potential impact of this on an industry
- Differentiate between cyclical, seasonal, and secularly shifting sectors
- Determine at what point in the economic cycle a specific industry / sector is expected to grow, and at what point it is expected to decline
- In what circumstances is a company operating in a declining industry not necessarily a bad investment?
- Recognize industry trends and metrics used to measure performance
- Predict the impact that global capital markets activity may have on the structure of loan documents
- Describe how a change in interest rates or future interest rate expectations can impact current debt pricing. Which types of debt securities are most sensitive to this risk?
- Explain how macroeconomic factors can influence counterparty risk
- Describe how historical or recent events may influence a lender's perception of a borrower
Company Factors
- Calculate a firm's credit ratios, and evaluate how they compare to the company's peers. Analyze what these ratios mean for the company from a credit analysis perspective
- Evaluate whether a company is a leader or a laggard within its sector
- Conduct an analysis of the company's Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats (SWOT Analysis)
- How will a company's owners, and lenders, influence the company's value? Understand the conflicts of interest between equity holders and bond holders
- What factors do major rating agencies typically not take into account when rating a bond, loan, or note?
- Examine a firm's financial ratios to determine its operational success and the management's performance in efficiently running the business
- Describe the potential conflicts of interest between a debtor's management team and the creditors. List several counterbalances that lenders can utilize to control or this conflict
- Explain why asset coverage is a significant factor for a lender. Describe one way borrowers previously took advantage of this perspective, and explain why they typically can no longer do so
- How can the Use(s) of Proceeds impact the pricing of a loan? Describe some Use(s) of Proceeds that are generally viewed favorably by creditors, and some that creditors view unfavorably
- Given a change in a company's financial or operational condition, determine the effects on the borrower's cash flow and ability to repay the loan
- What options are available to a company when a loan's maturity is imminent but they lack adequate cash / cash flow to pay back the debt?
- Understand the Ò¥arly warning signs' of a deterioration in a borrower's creditworthiness
- Distinguish between a financially distressed firm and an operationally distressed firm
Security Analysis
- Understand structural protections typically afforded to security investors, and why they are important
- What are the most common covenants and loan terms? Assess the impact from a security's possessing tighter or looser terms relative to its peers
- Explain the most common loan and pricing structures, and under which circumstances each would be most appealing to borrowers and to lenders
- Why do more senior loans typically mature prior to less senior loans?
- Consider the liquidity of a security and its impact on the loan's value. How do a firm's lenders, and the lenders' strategies, influence the security's liquidity? How do they influence its value?
- Differentiate between counterparty risk at the macroeconomic level and at the individual holder level
- Distinguish between the disparate components which may comprise a bond's yield - principal repayment, cash interest, and PIK interest - and evaluate the circumstances in which each might be preferred relative to the others
- Identify reasons for a security's price fluctuations that are isolated from the security's underlying value
- Describe the steps taken by lenders to mitigate credit risk, and characterize the scenarios in which each action may be most effective
- What are the advantages or disadvantages to portfolio diversification? Understand how diversification influences an individual security
Case Studies & Credit Memo
- Compare and contrast loose covenants, tight covenants, covenant-light agreements, and covenant-tight agreements
- Evaluate the impact of certain provisions on a loan's recovery by examining historical outcomes
- Review the segments typically included, and concerns generally addressed, in a comprehensive analysis of a bond, loan, or note
- Create a formal credit review write-up
Prerequisites
- Accounting & Financial Statements Integration
- Company Overview
- Finance 101 - Introduction to Finance
- Corporate Valuation Methodologies
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